Peak
Oil is the peaking of worldwide oil production, which may have already
occurred, or will occur in the next five, ten, or fifteen years. Many
experts argue that the peak of oil production will only be recognized
in hind sight.
Regardless of when peak oil occurs, the
aftermath will be higher energy prices and wild fluctuations, at least
in relative terms, at the pump. Those consequences will ripple
throughout every sector of the economy, resulting in challenges and
opportunities of a magnitude unparalleled in human history.
Peak Oil investing seeks to find ways to guide capital allocations
through the dislocations of this coming crisis in liquid energy sources
and the first forced change in the dominant energy regime in human
history. Opportunity will present itself in the form of new
technologies to recover previously uneconomic oil and gas resources, in
alternative energy forms and technology, from substitution effects as
high energy prices force consumers and businesses to make new choices
in everything from development patterns to retail to luxury goods.
To understand the importance of peak oil, read this recently
declassified CIA analysis of the Soviet Union's peaking oil production-- an event which brought down the world's other superpower.
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Campbell's Gap between Production and Discovery
